This weekend’s boxing highlights include Jermell Charlo (34-1, 18 KOs) and Brian Castano (17-0-1, 12 KOs) battling for the crown at 154 on Showtime. Being undisputed in boxing in this era is indeed rare. Yet, over the course of the pandemic shutdown, we’ve seen more fighters asking for opportunities to fight at the highest level and we’ve seen fighters showing a willingness to take the fights. This year we’ve seen four undisputed matches between women’s and men’s boxing. This Saturday, we get to number five with Jermell Charlo and Castano.
First off let’s show respect to these fighters for taking this fight. Yes, this should be the norm but it’s not and these two didn’t hesitate to make this fight a reality.
How We Got here
How did Jermell Charlo and Brian Castano get to this point? Simply put, these are the two best fighters at 154 pounds. Jermell Charlo, in his last six fights, has fought former world champions, highly touted undefeated prospect, a world champion and then a unified world champion. He hasn’t gone an easy route by any means. Those people who say this will be a pushover for him have no idea what they’re talking about. Castano has fought tough fighters as well world champion, former world champion and a tough fight where he traveled to the opponent’s home country and was given the decision. Castano’s last 6 opponents, including Charlo, came into the fight with a combined record of (194-12-3). In his last seven fights, Charlo’s opponents, including Castano, came into the fight with a record of (169-15-2). They’ve met the challenges and powered through. If asking most, it could be a match-up of two undefeated fights as Charlo’s one loss is a bit controversial.
In terms of styles, this is a beautiful matchup. It’s a contrast of styles as Castano throws the most punches at 154 (with an average of 84) and Jermell Charlo throws the least at 36 punches thrown per round. Castano is very much a volume puncher and likes to smother you with his work as he also holds opponents to 20% landed in his last five fights. Charlo, on his end, lands an average of ten punches per round, which, if you look at the defense from Castano, makes you think something will give. Charlo again may land only ten punches per round, but he has knocked out seven of his last nine opponents, which shows you that the punches he lands on matter each time.
This fight should create a pound-for-pound ranked fighter across the board. I personally have Jermell Charlo as number eight and Castano outside of it. The winner should definitely get all the credit for the win. I applaud both fighters for making this fight and how quickly it came together after Castano’s victory earlier this year.
Jermell Charlo vs. Brian Castano Prediction
My outcome prediction for this fight will probably change throughout, but as of now, I will go with Jermell Charlo by 10th round stoppage. I think it’s a great fight and very competitive and I think the counter-punching from Charlo gives him a lead. Once Castano realizes he is behind and needs to do something he goes more reckless and gets caught. Charlo knows when to land that shot at any time and I feel he does it here. I feel with the victory Jermell Charlo becomes a top-five pound-for-pound fighter and a possible face of the sport.